Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000764 0.000872 0.000986 0.001116 0.001259 0.001410 0.001584
2025-03-16 0.000586 0.000733 0.000900 0.001102 0.001338 0.001604 0.001923
2025-03-23 0.000491 0.000655 0.000850 0.001095 0.001393 0.001739 0.002168
2025-03-30 0.000423 0.000597 0.000813 0.001095 0.001448 0.001871 0.002410
2025-04-06 0.000364 0.000543 0.000773 0.001083 0.001483 0.001973 0.002612
2025-04-13 0.000313 0.000492 0.000730 0.001062 0.001500 0.002051 0.002784
2025-04-20 0.000286 0.000470 0.000723 0.001084 0.001572 0.002197 0.003041
2025-04-27 0.000261 0.000447 0.000712 0.001098 0.001632 0.002327 0.003281
2025-05-04 0.000231 0.000415 0.000683 0.001086 0.001654 0.002407 0.003456
2025-05-11 0.000203 0.000382 0.000652 0.001067 0.001665 0.002471 0.003608
2025-05-18 0.000187 0.000367 0.000645 0.001081 0.001721 0.002595 0.003843
2025-05-25 0.000170 0.000347 0.000630 0.001082 0.001758 0.002692 0.004044
2025-06-01 0.000147 0.000316 0.000594 0.001052 0.001748 0.002727 0.004161
2025-06-08 0.000127 0.000288 0.000561 0.001023 0.001738 0.002761 0.004278
2025-06-15 0.000115 0.000272 0.000547 0.001020 0.001768 0.002849 0.004472
2025-06-22 0.000104 0.000257 0.000533 0.001019 0.001798 0.002939 0.004669
2025-06-29 0.000092 0.000240 0.000515 0.001008 0.001812 0.003005 0.004833
2025-07-06 0.000081 0.000222 0.000492 0.000987 0.001810 0.003047 0.004962
2025-07-13 0.000076 0.000217 0.000493 0.001009 0.001874 0.003188 0.005237
2025-07-20 0.000071 0.000210 0.000490 0.001022 0.001926 0.003312 0.005488
2025-07-27 0.000063 0.000197 0.000474 0.001011 0.001937 0.003372 0.005647
2025-08-03 0.000056 0.000183 0.000455 0.000993 0.001936 0.003415 0.005780
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000178 0.000453 0.001006 0.001987 0.003539 0.006036